prvo, namerno ne kacim na finansije jer mislim da je bitna tema ovako Ovo pisem em kao upozorenje na neki nacin, em za diskusiju. Znaci, svi mi znamo za prevaru sportskih dojava. 'Ee buraz imam dojavu za namestenu utakmicu sveeeeee garant prolazi 100% samo mi daj 5 soma'. Mada to nije tema danas. Danas zelim da pomenem tzv. Forex Grupe, koje prodaju servis za forex trejding, u glavnom 'analitike' ili 'signale'. Sta je forex? Forex, znaci foreign exchange, je trziste valute. Tu mozete da trugjete valutama, kao na primer u menjacnici, ili da se kladite na kurs preko CFD ugovora, kao ovi 'forex experti' sa instagrama. Naravno, teoretski moze da se zaradi dosta, ali vecina spekulatora gubi pare. Ovaj klip objasni forex skroz ok. i dosta je lik spomenuo o ovoj prevari. Jedino sto se ne cuje bas lepo, ali sustinski je sve ok. U cemu je fora? Provajderi za te forex signale, najpopularniji u Srbiji je Lule, Luka Bijelovic, (@lulepljugica) vole da prikazuju sve od skupih auta, do lepih devojaka, puno novcanica i mnogo toga sto prosecan covek zeli. Sada, koliko toga je stvarno istinito prikazano, odluclite sami. Oni guraju ljude, koji su cesto maloletni, a nemaju obrazovanje i znanje za forex spekulaciju, na veoma rizicnu spekulaciju. Pritom nisu prijavljeni, ne placaju poreze, sve je veoma 'fishy'. Sada, zato ti signali nisu u redu? Investopedia ima stranicu o tome. U kratko, statistike kazu da veliki broj ljudi (negde oko 90%) gubi pare na forexu. Znaci niko ne moze reci sta ce da se desi sa kursom. Ni ja, ni ti, ni banke. Ja iskreno mislim da je ovo veoma problematicno, i da drzava mora nesto da uradi. Sta mislite o ovome? Jel znate nekoga sto je pao na ovako nesto? Jel poznajete nekoga iz te price?
Someone posted on here a few days ago asking about forex and forex trading in Kenya, I have gone through the responses and clearly, most people don’t have an idea. It is 3am in the morning and am in a good mood so let me make this post. This will be a comprehensive and lengthy post so grab a pen and paper and sit down. We’ll be here a while. FIRST OF ALL, who am I..? I am a forex trader, in Nairobi, Kenya..i have been actively involved in forex since I found out about it in Feb 2016 when I somehow ended up in a wealth creation seminar (lol) in pride inn Westlands, the one close to Mpaka Rd. Luckily for me, it was not one of those AIM global meetings or I’d be on Facebook selling God knows what those guys sell. I did not take it seriously till August of the same year and I have been active ever since. I don’t teach, mentor or sell a course or signals, I trade my own money. I am also posting from a throwaway account because I don’t want KRA on my ass. What the fuck is forex and forex trading. In simple plain English, forex is like the stock market but for currencies. Stock Market = Shares, forex = currencies. If you want more in-depth explanation, google is your friend. These currencies are pegged on specific countries, united states- dollar, UK- pound, euro zone- euro, Switzerland- Swiss franc, Kenya- Kenya shilling.. you get the point. Now, there are specific events and happenings between these economies that affect the movement and values of the currencies, driving their value (purchasing power up and down). Forex trading exploits these movements to make money. When the value is going up, we buy and vice versa (down –sell) Is forex trading illegal in Kenya? Is it a scam? Illegal, no. scam, no. All the banks in the world do it (KCB made about 4 billion from trading forex in 2019) Have there been scams involving forex in Kenya? Yes. Here is one that happened recently. This one is the most infamous one yet. Best believe that this is not the end of these type of scams because the stupidity, greed and gullibility of human beings is unfathomable. However, by the end of this post, I hope you won’t fall for such silliness. What next how do I make it work..? Am glad you asked. Generally, there are two ways to go about it. One, you teach yourself. This is the equivalent of stealing our dad’s car and hoping that the pedal you hit is the brake and not the accelerator. It is the route I took, it is the most rewarding and a huge ego boost when you finally make it on your own. Typically, this involves scouring the internet for hours upon hours going down rabbit holes, thinking you have made it telling all your friends how you will be a millionaire then losing all your money. Some people do not have the stomach for that. The second route is more practical, structured and smarter. First Learn the basics. There is a free online forex course at www.babypips.com/learn/forex this is merely an introductory course. Basically it is learning the parts of a car before they let you inside the car. Second, start building your strategy. By the time you are done with the babypips, you will have a feel of what the forex market is, what interests you, etc. Tip..Babypips has a lot of garbage. It is good for introductory purposes but not good for much else, pick whatever stick to you or jumps at you the first time. Nonsense like indicators should be ignored. The next step is now the most important. Developing the skill and building your strategy. As a beginner, you want to exhaust your naivety before jumping into the more advanced stuff. Eg can you identify a trend, what is a pair, what is position sizing, what is metatrader 4 and how to operate it, what news is good for a currency, when can I trade, what are the different trading sessions, what is technical analysis, what is market sentiment, what are bullish conditions what is emotion management, how does my psychology affect my trading (more on this later) an I a swing, scalper or day trader etc Mentors and forex courses.. you have probably seen people advertising how they can teach and mentor you on how to trade forex and charging so much money for it. Somehow it seems that these people are focused on the teaching than the trading. Weird, right..? Truth is trading is hard, teaching not quite. A common saying in the industry is “Those who can’t trade, teach” you want to avoid all these gurus on Facebook and Instagram, some are legit but most are not. Sifting the wheat from the chaff is hard but I did that for you. The info is available online on YouTube, telegram channels etc. am not saying not to spend money on a course, if you find a mentor whose style resonates with you and the course is reasonably priced, please, go ahead and buy..it will cut your learning curve in half. People are different. What worked for me might not work for you. Here are some nice YouTube channels to watch. These guys are legit..
After a short period of time, you will be able to sniff out bs teachers with relative ease. You will also discover some of your own and expand the list. Two tips, start with the oldest videos first and whichever of these resonates with you, stick with till the wheels fall off. How long will it take until things start making sense Give yourself time to grow and learn. This is all new to you and you are allowed to make mistakes, to fail and discover yourself. Realistically, depending on the effort you put in, you will not start seeing results until after 6 months. Could take longeshorter so there is no guarantee. Social media, Mentality, Psychology and Books Online, forex trading might not have the best reputation online because it takes hard work and scammers and gurus give it a bad name. However, try to not get sucked into the Instagram trader lifestyle as it is nowhere close to what the reality is. You will not make millions tomorrow or the day after, you might never even make it in this market. But that is the reality of life. Nothing is promised, nothing is guaranteed. Your mentality, beliefs and ego will be challenged in this market. You will learn things that will make you blood boil, you will ask yourself daily, how is this possible, why don’t they teach this in school..bla bla bla..it will be hard but growth is painful, if it wasn’t we’d all be billionaires. Take a break, take a walk, drink a glass of whatever you like or roll one..detox. Chill with your girl (or man) Gradually you will develop mental toughness that will set you up for life. Personally, I sorta ditched religion and picked up stoicism. Whatever works for you. Psychology, this is unfortunately one of the most neglected aspects of your personal development in this journey. Do you believe in yourself? Can you stand by your convictions when everyone is against you? Can you get up every day uncertain of the future? There will be moments where you will question yourself, am I even doing the right thing? the right way? It is normal and essential for your growth. People who played competitive sports have a natural advantage here. Remember the game is first won in your head then on the pitch. Books: ironically, books that helped me the most were the mindset books, Think and grow rich, trading for a living, 4 hour work week, the monk who sold his Ferrari..just google mindset and psychology books, most trading books are garbage. Watch and listen to people who have made it in the investing business. Ray Dalio, warren, Bill Ackman and Carl Icahn. This is turning out to be lengthier than I anticipated so I’ll try to be brief for the remaining parts. Brokers You will need to open up an account with a broker. Get a broker who is regulated. Australian ones (IC Market and Pepperstone) are both legit, reliable and regulated. Do your research. I’d avoid local ones because I’ve heard stories of wide spreads and liquidity problems. International brokers have never failed me. There are plenty brokers, there is no one size fits all recommendation. If it ain’t broke..don’t fix it. Money transfer. All brokers accept wire transfers, you might need to call your bank to authorize that, avoid Equity bank. Stanchart and Stanbic are alright. Large withdrawals $10k+ you will have to call them prior. Get Skrill and Neteller if you don’t like banks like me, set up a Bitcoin wallet for faster withdrawals, (Payoneer and Paypal are accepted by some brokers, just check with them.) How much money can I make..? I hate this question because people have perceived ceilings of income in their minds, eg 1 million ksh is too much to make per month or 10,000ksh is too little. Instead, work backwards. What % return did I make this month/ on this trade. Safaricom made 19.5% last year, if you make 20% you have outperformed them. If you reach of consistency where you can make x% per month on whatever money you have, then there are no limits to how much you can make. How much money do I need to start with..? Zero. You have all the resources above, go forth. There are brokers who provide free bonuses and withdraw-able profits. However, to make a fulltime income you will need some serious cash. Generally, 50,000 kes. You can start lower or higher but if you need say 20k to live comfortably and that is a 10% return per month, then you can do the math on how big your account should be. Of course things like compound interest come into play but that is dependent on your skill level. I have seen people do spectacular things with very little funds. Taxes..? Talk to a lawyer or an accountant. I am neither. Family? Friends? Unfortunately, people will not understand why you spend hundreds of hours watching strangers on the internet so it is best to keep it from them. Eventually you will make it work and they will come to your corner talking about how they always knew you’d make it. The journey will be lonely, make some trading buddies along the way. You’d be surprised at how easy it is when people are united by their circumstances (and stupidity) I have guys who are my bros from South Africa and Lebanon who I have never met but we came up together and are now homies. Join forums, ask questions and grow. That is the only way to learn. Ideally, a group of 5-10 friends committed to learning and growth is the best model. Pushing each other to grow and discovering together. Forex is real and you can do amazing things with it. It is not a get rich quick scheme. If you want a quick guaranteed income, get a job. And now it is 5am, fuck. This is oversimplified and leaves out many many aspects. Happy to answer any questions.
When trying to analyze & buy a company’s stock, investors nowadays use 2 common frameworks for analysis, namely fundamental & technical.
This segment focuses on the economical situations, industry status quo, and also the company as a whole. It also takes into consideration. Government Policies, monetary policies, forex valuations, geopolitical situations. It also takes a deeper dive into a company’s competitors, market share, growth, data & so on and also the management of companies, investment metrics, such as ratios, cashflows & many other factors.
[ 🔴 DELETED 🔴 ] Topic originally posted in Bitcoin by coltonmuller147 [link] "ScReW cApItAlIsM & aLl ThOsE gReEdY jErKs" "BuRn DoWn WaLl sTrEeT" as you contribute 5-10% of each of your paychecks into a S&P 500 index fund within your 401k
index #forex #mindset #crypto #bitcoin
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Looking to get into algorithmic trading, need some help with markets/finance
Hey how's it going everyone. I'm looking to get into algorithmic trading and was wondering what a good way to start was. I've checked out quantstart for example but it seems extensive. A bit about my background first, I have a BS in EE CS from a top UC school and I also work as an software engineering intern right now at a well known Fintech company. My backgrounds pretty heavy in CS + EE and mathematics as well and I'm excited to apply my skills towards trading and algorithms where I can also use my software development skills. I also have an offer for a winter internship as a quant dev/analyst a small fund on wallstreet. I'm also deciding on an MFE/CS/applied econ math program next fall or spring as deadlines are coming up. Desire: I would like to understand more about algorithmic trading platforms and of course to begin trading, I'd like to learn how to apply my background in ML to markets as well but my main goal is starting slow. I want to do this before my internship begins. I've also began using robinhood and it's alot of fun, I'd love to play around with their api. My questions: 1) My main questions pertains towards the finance side. I don't have trading experience and would like to learn within the next three months. I'd like to learn more about backtesting and begin simulated algorithmic trading with fictitious money before moving on to actual money. Any tips on this? 2) What platform should I look into to learn more about trading, I'm thinking about equities first and then looking into something like forex or even crypto. Unless a better suggestion you have in mind. I'm mainly interested in commission free and no fees, if that even exists. I know robinhood does this but is there a desktop based platform? 3) I'm curious about the inner working of algorithmic trading. Are most people using just an autonomous algorithm they run that connects to an exchange/broker? Or are most people building their own exchanges and testing on both? 4)If there's any good articles or guides/videos you've seen that are applicable that would be great.
I am an Economics senior graduating in the Spring. I have also been trading Forex for 2 years now which I enjoy. My ambition is to be a quant trader. So I am planning on going back to school for either Computer Engineering o Software Engineering & Applied Mathematics. Which tech degree is more applicable to trading? I know computer engineering is a mix of cs and ee so focuses on the hardware software interface whereas software focuses on algorithms, programming and software in general. Which tech degree applies to trading more between computer engineering vs software engineering?
So I recently bailed the fuck out, and here's what prompted it. Well, there was that realization that things are primed to implode, obviously, but the final straw was admin-level fuckery. I totally forget if I bitched about it, but one day, for no fucking reason I was locked out of my company bank accounts. The bank had decided that my passport must be valid for "13 years" and the passport I was using was somehow wrong (2006-2016 became 2006-2019). They were not happy about granting me access to my own damn company accounts again, afterall, this was data coming from the infallible central database of objective truth with chinese characteristics. This was the first warning shot to me. I got it fixed up and immediately sucked the accounts dry. Which was a good thing because 24 hours later, they were once again locked out, same reason. Also got a visit claiming that I was not registered with the PSB, which was bullshit, but whatever, in we go to reregister, and again... same problem. Only way to fix this issue was to go into the entry-exit admin building to get someone to correct the issue. I did this, I went in, I got it fixed. It then got unfixed, again, by the next week. Now here's a problem, when you own some significant assets, they are tied to your numbers. I have updated all that shit when swapping passports before, but what happens when your passport is being declared by China as "no good"? My passport was set to expire inside by the end of this summer. I got a new one and started the swapping process. We had already decided we were leaving, but we intended to leave some stuff and make it our second home. Guess what? No can do. When your original passport is being declared as invalid by the system to begin with, you ain't gonna get it swapped out for anything else. System was fucked, and any fix was only lasting for a day or so until it went right back. Unable to register in a way they recognized, all my personal accounts were being locked out, fuck, even entering the country again might be an issue on that passport. The problem becomes very clear... all my property had a very real risk of simply not being mine anymore. I was not alone in this problem. I ran into other foreigners at exit-entry having the same problems, random passport issues that made no sense. In all the fuckery I have run into in China since I first came in 1997, that was a new one for me. This shit was targeted. Passport numbers being off, expiration dates being off, slight misspellings in names, and the same refusal to actually fix it. Now, imagine if your chinese company was not a shell corp and had real shit running? You would be fucked. Imagine if you were getting paid into an account you were locked out of? Imagine you had a mortgage to be paid on an apartment... which was no longer "yours" and you were incapable of paying it due to being locked out, and oh, for some reason you were now living there "illegally" because you were not registered in the system as living there? This is a thing now. It wasn't just me. Might have been blowing it our of proportion, but when combined with everything else.... according to their system, you become a non-person, you are no longer married to your wife, your child is no longer related to you, your property is no longer under your control, and you can be rounded up at any given moment for not being registered. Oh, and staying in a hotel? Yep, failure there as well. They have put together a central database of all valid passports they have run across and no one is responsible for it apparently. If your physical passport does not match their system, you are, by default, in the wrong. If you have assets, you can be targeted in this sneaky way as well. Again, NOT alone here. This has been going on for at least half a year now, starting right around the time of that silly parade. Expect to see more stories from expats in the coming months on this, no one wants to say shit until they are free and clear and have cut all ties. When selling shit off I had to make an extra trip to EE and "fix" my passport issue, then run off to transfer the deeds, car titles, etc. Getting money out, also a massive problem, which I was pointing at. Small amounts of money is not an issue. Try it once you get over 7-figures in freedoms though. Legal documentation means shit to them right now, they don't want to do it. Keep in mind, right now, the banks are all being "top 10ed". As in, all banks in a city or designated area are being ranked on how much forex they are remitting. The top 10 per period are being audited and managers threatened with consequences if they do not stop it. That's enough info in there for the fucktards to identify me, and to them I say: fuck you, I don't care. Thank you for making it obvious though so I could get out at the top of the market! a few months shy of 19 years in that shithole. defending your bullshit for nearly the entire time. advising your fucking soes on legit strategies to become real companies. laying out an entire strategy for your fucking cctv international to become more legit. i was a massive advocate for you, i just wanted to share in it a little, that was it. i helped build my industry in your shithole from the ground up, even when your dipshit company leaders had zero understanding of it and i did workshops to get your brands to actually understand why it mattered. bitter? eh, whatever, I walked with a fuckload. Here's another way to get your cash out of china... in a fucking shipping container... dumbasses, shipped in locked safes. You know who didn't give a fuck yesterday at the port? US customs, when I showed them where the money came from and explained why I did it this way to subvert china capital controls. not a single fuck did they give, nor did they demand a bribe, or a penalty, because hey, rule of fucking law.... IRS gives no fucks either. Scumis and all the other oldfags... keep on eye out for this shit, and be prepared to bail.... and if you're in the process of bailing and liquidating, feel free to hit me up if you need any pointers.
Verona Pharma plc - American Depositary Share (VRNA)
ICU Medical (ICUI)
Vitamin Shoppe (VSI)
W&T Offshore (WTI)
Impax Laboratories (IPXL)
Weight Watchers International (WTW)
Integra Lifesciences (IART)
Wright Medical Group (WMGI)
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"Satoshi Nakamoto" the mysterious creator of Bitcoin is no other than the CIA
Bitcoin has surged to all time highs, Who created Bitcoin, and why? The creator of Bitcoin is officially a name, “Satoshi Nakamoto” – very few people believe that it was a single male from Japan. In the early days of Bitcoin development this name is associated with original key-creation and communications on message boards, and then the project was officially handed over to others at which point this Satoshi character never appeared again (Although from time to time someone will come forward saying they are the real Satoshi Nakamoto, and then have their posts deleted). Bitcoin could very well be the ‘one world currency’ that conspiracy theorists have been talking about for some time. It’s a kill five birds with one stone solution – not only is Bitcoin an ideal one world currency, it allows law enforcement a perfect record of all transactions on the network. It states very clearly on bitcoin.org (the official site) in big letters “Bitcoin is not anonymous” : Some effort is required to protect your privacy with Bitcoin. All Bitcoin transactions are stored publicly and permanently on the network, which means anyone can see the balance and transactions of any Bitcoin address. However, the identity of the user behind an address remains unknown until information is revealed during a purchase or in other circumstances. This is one reason why Bitcoin addresses should only be used once. Another advantage of Bitcoin is the problem of Quantitative Easing – the Fed (and thus, nearly all central banks in the world) have painted themselves in a corner, metaphorically speaking. QE ‘solved’ the credit crisis, but QE itself does not have a solution. Currently all currencies are in a race to zero – competing with who can print more money faster. Central Bankers who are in systemic analysis, their economic advisors, know this. They know that the Fiat money system is doomed, all what you can read online is true (just sensationalized) – it’s a debt based system based on nothing. That system was created, originally in the early 1900’s and refined during Breton Woods followed by the Nixon shock (This is all explained well in Splitting Pennies). In the early 1900’s – there was no internet! It is a very archaic system that needs to be replaced, by something modern, electronic, based on encryption. Bitcoin! It’s a currency based on ‘bits’ – but most importantly, Bitcoin is not the ‘one world currency’ per se, but laying the framework for larger cryptocurrency projects. In the case of central banks, who control the global monetary system, that would manifest in ‘Settlement Coin’ : Two resources available almost exclusively to central banks could soon be opened up to additional users as a result of a new digital currency project designed by a little-known startup and Swiss bank UBS. One of those resources is the real-time gross settlement (RTGS) system used by central banks (it’s typically reserved for high-value transactions that need to be settled instantly), and the other is central bank-issued cash. Using the Utility Settlement Coin (USC) unveiled today, the five-member consortium that has sprung up around the project aims to help central banks open-up access to these tools to more customers. If successful, USC has the potential to create entirely new business models built on instant settling and easy cash transfers. In interview, Robert Sams, founder of London-based Clearmatics, said his firm initially worked with UBS to build the network, and that BNY Mellon, Deutsche Bank, ICAP and Santander are only just the first of many future members. the NSA/CIA often works for big corporate clients, just as it has become a cliche that the Iraq war was about big oil, the lesser known hand in global politics is the banking sector. In other words, Bitcoin may have very well been ‘suggested’ or ‘sponsored’ by a banker, group of banks, or financial services firm. But the NSA (as we surmise) was the company that got the job done. And probably, if it was in fact ‘suggested’ or ‘sponsored’ by a private bank, they would have been waiting in the wings to develop their own Bitcoin related systems or as in the above “Settlement Coin.” So the NSA made Bitcoin – so what? The FX markets currently represent the exchange between ‘major’ and ‘minor’ currencies. In the future, why not too they will include ‘cryptocurrencies’ – we’re already seeing the BTC/EUR pair popup on obscure brokers. When BTC/USD and BTC/EUR are available at major FX banks and brokers, we can say – from a global FX perspective, that Bitcoin has ‘arrived.’ Many of us remember the days when the synthetic “Euro” currency was a new artificial creation that was being adopted, although the Euro project is thousands of degrees larger than the Bitcoin project. But unlike the Euro, Bitcoin is being adopted at a near exponential rate by demand (Many merchants resisted the switch to Euros claiming it was eating into their profit margins and they were right!). And to answer the question as to why Elite E Services is not actively involved in Bitcoin the answer is that previously, you can’t trade Bitcoin. Now we’re starting to see obscure brokers offering BTC/EUR but the liquidity is sparse and spreads are wacky – that will all change. When we can trade BTC/USD just like EUUSD you can bet that EES and a host of other algorithmic FX traders will be all over it! It will be an interesting trade for sure, especially with all the volatility, the cross ‘pairs’ – and new cryptocurrencies. For the record, for brokers- there’s not much difference adding a new symbol (currency pair) in MT4 they just need liquidity, which has been difficult to find. So there’s really nothing revolutionary about Bitcoin, it’s just a logical use of technology in finance considering a plethora of problems faced by any central bank who creates currency. And there are some interesting caveats to Bitcoin as compared to major currencies; Bitcoin is a closed system (there are finite Bitcoin) – this alone could make such currencies ‘anti-inflationary’ and at the least, hold their value (the value of the USD continues to deteriorate slowly over time as new M3 introduced into the system.) But we need to pay Here’s some interesting theories about who or whom is Satoshi: A corporate conglomerate Some researchers proposed that the name ‘Satoshi Nakamoto’ was derived from a combination of tech companies consisting of Samsung, Toshiba, Nakayama, and Motorola. The notion that the name was a pseudonym is clearly true and it is doubtful they reside in Japan given the numerous forum posts with a distinctly English dialect. Craig Steven Wright This Australian entrepreneur claims to be the Bitcoin creator and provided proof. But soon after, his offices were raided by the tax authorities on ‘an unrelated matter’ Soon after these stories were published, authorities in Australia raided the home of Mr Wright. The Australian Taxation Office said the raid was linked to a long-running investigation into tax payments rather than Bitcoin. Questioned about this raid, Mr Wright said he was cooperating fully with the ATO. “We have lawyers negotiating with them over how much I have to pay,” he said. Other potential creators Nick Szabo, and many others, have been suggested as potential Satoshi – but all have denied it: The New Yorker published a piece pointing at two possible Satoshis, one of whom seemed particularly plausible: a cryptography graduate student from Trinity College, Dublin, who had gone on to work in currency-trading software for a bank and published a paper on peer-to-peer technology. The other was a Research Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute, Vili Lehdonvirta. Both made denials. Fast Company highlighted an encryption patent application filed by three researchers – Charles Bry, Neal King and Vladimir Oksman – and a circumstantial link involving textual analysis of it and the Satoshi paper which found the phrase “…computationally impractical to reverse” in both. Again, it was flatly denied. THE WINNER: It was the NSA The NSA has the capability, the motive, and the operational capacity – they have teams of cryptographers, the biggest fastest supercomputers in the world, and they see the need. Whether instructed by their friends at the Fed, in cooperation with their owners (i.e. Illuminati banking families), or as part of a DARPA project – is not clear and will never be known (unless a whistleblower comes forward). In fact, the NSA employs some of the best mathematicians and cryptographers in the world. Few know about their work because it’s a secret, and this isn’t the kind of job you leave to start your own cryptography company. But the real smoking Gun, aside from the huge amount of circumstantial evidence and lack of a credible alternative, is the 1996 paper authored by NSA “HOW TO MAKE A MINT: THE CRYPTOGRAPHY OF ANONYMOUS ELECTRONIC CASH” The NSA was one of the first organizations to describe a Bitcoin-like system. About twelve years before Satoshi Nakamotopublished his legendary white paper to the Metzdowd.com cryptography mailing list, a group of NSA information security researchers published a paper entitled How to Make a Mint: the Cryptography of Anonymous Electronic Cash in two prominent places, the first being an MIT mailing list and the second being much more prominent, The American Law Review The paper outlines a system very much like Bitcoin in which secure financial transactions are possible through the use of a decentralized network the researchers refer informally to as a Bank. They list four things as indispensable in their proposed network: privacy, user identification (protection against impersonation), message integrity (protection against tampering/substitution of transaction information – that is, protection against double-spending), and nonrepudiation (protection against later denial of a transaction – a blockchain!). It is evident that SHA-256, the algorithm Satoshi used to secure Bitcoin, was not available because it came about in 2001. However, SHA-1 would have been available to them, having been published in 1993. Why would the NSA want to do this? One simple reason: Control. As we explain in Splitting Pennies – Understanding Forex – the primary means the US dominates the world is through economic policy, although backed by bombs. And the critical support of the US Dollar is primarily, the military. The connection between the military and the US Dollar system is intertwined inextricably. There are thousands of great examples only one of them being how Iraq switched to the Euro right before the Army’s invasion. In October 2000 Iraq insisted on dumping the US dollar – ‘the currency of the enemy’ – for the more multilateral euro. The changeover was announced on almost exactly the same day that the euro reached its lowest ebb, buying just $0.82, and the G7 Finance Ministers were forced to bail out the currency. On Friday the euro had reached $1.08, up 30 per cent from that time. Almost all of Iraq’s oil exports under the United Nations oil-for-food programme have been paid in euros since 2001. Around 26 billion euros (£17.4bn) has been paid for 3.3 billion barrels of oil into an escrow account in New York. The Iraqi account, held at BNP Paribas, has also been earning a higher rate of interest in euros than it would have in dollars. The point here is there are a lot of different types of control. The NSA monitors and collects literally all electronic communications; internet, phone calls, everything. They listen in even to encrypted voice calls with high powered microphones, devices like cellphones equipped with recording devices (See original “Clipper” chip). It’s very difficult to communicate on planet Earth in private, without the NSA listening. So it is only logical that they would also want complete control of the financial system, including records of all electronic transactions, which Bitcoin provides. Could there be an ‘additional’ security layer baked into the Blockchain that is undetectable, that allows the NSA to see more information about transactions, such as network location data? It wouldn’t be so far fetched, considering their past work, such as Xerox copy machines that kept a record of all copies made (this is going back to the 70’s, now it’s common). Of course security experts will point to the fact that this layer remains invisible, but if this does exist – of course it would be hidden. More to the point about the success of Bitcoin – its design is very solid, robust, manageable – this is not the work of a student. Of course logically, the NSA employs individuals, and ultimately it is the work of mathematicians, programmers, and cryptographers – but if we deduce the most likely group capable, willing, and motivated to embark on such a project, the NSA is the most likely suspect. Universities, on the other hand, didn’t product white papers like this from 1996. Another question is that if it was the NSA, why didn’t they go through more trouble concealing their identity? I mean, the internet is rife with theories that it was in fact the NSA/CIA and “Satoshi Nakamoto” means in Japanese “Central Intelligence” – well there are a few answers for this, but to be congruent with our argument, it fits their profile. Where could this ‘hidden layer’ be? Many think it could be in the public SHA-256, developed by NSA (which ironically, was the encryption algorithm of choice for Bitcoin – they could have chosen hundreds of others, which arguably are more secure): Claims that the NSA created Bitcoin have actually been flung around for years. People have questioned why it uses the SHA-256 hash function, which was designed by the NSA and published by the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST). The fact that the NSA is tied to SHA-256 leads some to assume it’s created a backdoor to the hash function that no one has ever identified, which allows it to spy on Bitcoin users. “If you assume that the NSA did something to SHA-256, which no outside researcher has detected, what you get is the ability, with credible and detectable action, they would be able to forge transactions. The really scary thing is somebody finds a way to find collisions in SHA-256 really fast without brute-forcing it or using lots of hardware and then they take control of the network,” cryptography researcher Matthew D. Green of Johns Hopkins University said in a previous interview. Then there’s the question of “Satoshi Nakamoto” – if it was in fact the NSA, why not just claim ownership of it? Why all the cloak and dagger? And most importantly, if Satoshi Nakamoto is a real person, and not a group that wants to remain secret – WHY NOT come forward and claim your nearly $3 Billion worth of Bitcoin (based on current prices). Did the NSA create Satoshi Nakamoto? The CIA Project, a group dedicated to unearthing all of the government’s secret projects and making them public, hasreleased a video claiming Bitcoin is actually the brainchild of the US National Security Agency. The video entitled CIA Project Bitcoin: Is Bitcoin a CIA or NSA project? claims that there is a lot of compelling evidences that proves that the NSA is behind Bitcoin. One of the main pieces of evidence has to do with the name of the mysterious man, woman or group behind the creation of Bitcoin, “Satoshi Nakamoto”. According to the CIA Project, Satoshi Nakamoto means “Central Intelligence” in Japanese. Doing a quick web search, you’ll find out that Satoshi is usually a name given for baby boys which means “clear thinking, quick witted, wise,” while Nakamoto is a Japanese surname which means ‘central origin’ or ‘(one who lives) in the middle’ as people with this surname are found mostly in the Ryukyu islands which is strongly associated with the Ry?ky? Kingdom, a highly centralized kingdom that originated from the Okinawa Islands. So combining Nakamoto and Satoshi can be loosely interpreted as “Central Intelligence”. Is it so really hard to believe? This is from an organization that until the Snowden leaks, secretly recorded nearly all internet traffic on the network level by splicing fiber optic cables. They even have a deep-sea splicing mission that will cut undersea cables and install intercept devices. Making Bitcoin wouldn’t even be a big priority at NSA. Certainly, anonymity is one of the biggest myths about Bitcoin. In fact, there has never been a more easily traceable method of payment. Every single transaction is recorded and retained permanently in the public “blockchain”. The idea that the NSA would create an anarchic, peer-to-peer crypto-currency in the hope that it would be adopted for nefarious industries and become easy to track would have been a lot more difficult to believe before the recent leaks by Edward Snowden and the revelation that billions of phone calls had been intercepted by the US security services. We are now in a world where we now know that the NSA was tracking the pornography habits of Islamic “radicalisers” in order to discredit them and making deals with some of the world’s largest internet firms to insert backdoors into their systems. And we’re not the only ones who believe this, in Russia they ‘know’ this to be true without sifting through all the evidence. Nonetheless, Svintsov’s remarks count as some of the more extreme to emanate from the discussion. Svintsov told Russian broadcast news agency REGNUM:“All these cryptocurrencies [were] created by US intelligence agencies just to finance terrorism and revolutions.”Svintsov reportedly went on to explain how cryptocurrencies have started to become a payment method for consumer spending, and cited reports that terrorist organisations are seeking to use the technology for illicit means. Let’s elaborate on what is ‘control’ as far as the NSA is concerned. Bitcoin is like the prime mover. All future cryptocurrencies, no matter how snazzy or functional – will never have the same original keys as Bitcoin. It created a self-sustained, self-feeding bubble – and all that followed. It enabled law enforcement to collect a host of criminals on a network called “Silk Road” and who knows what other operations that happened behind the scenes. Because of pesky ‘domestic’ laws, the NSA doesn’t control the internet in foreign countries. But by providing a ‘cool’ currency as a tool, they can collect information from around the globe and like Facebook, users provide this information voluntarily. It’s the same strategy they use like putting the listening device in the chips at the manufacturing level, which saves them the trouble of wiretapping, electronic eavesdropping, and other risky methods that can fail or be blocked. It’s impossible to stop a cellphone from listening to you, for example (well not 100%, but you have to physically rewire the device). Bitcoin is the same strategy on a financial level – by using Bitcoin you’re giving up your private transactional information. By itself, it would not identify you per se (as the blockchain is ‘anonymous’ but the transactions are there in the public register, so combined with other information, which the NSA has a LOT OF – they can triangulate their information more precisely. That’s one problem solved with Bitcoin – another being the economic problem of QE (although with a Bitcoin market cap of $44 Billion, that’s just another day at the Fed buying MBS) – and finally, it squashes the idea of sovereignty although in a very, very, very subtle way. You see, a country IS a currency. Until now, currency has always been tied to national sovereignty (although the Fed is private, USA only has one currency, the US Dollar, which is exclusively American). Bitcoin is a super-national currency, or really – the world’s first one world currency. Of course, this is all great praise for the DOD which seems to have a 50 year plan – but after tens of trillions spent we’d hope that they’d be able to do something better than catching terrorists (which mostly are artificial terrorists)
Flash Informativo: Manipulación del mercado y exceso de FUD en Bitcoin – Episodio 51
Territorio Bitcoin ha lanzado un nuevo episodio de su Poscast semanal conducido por Fernando Molina desde España, de donde se repasará la actualidad del mercado Bitcoin, las expectativas para la próxima semana con la aprobación de los ETF del CBOE, los meetups que están en el calendario y los datos del concurso para ganar unas camisetas exclusivas. Cada semana Territorio Bitcoin publica un nuevo Podcast con información de primera mano, que todo trader debe conocer a fin de tomar las decisiones acertadas durante sus próximas operaciones dentro del mercado de las criptomonedas. En este Podcast número 51, Fernando nos habla principalmente del estado del mercado de las criptomonedas y la manipulación importante que bajo la que se encuentran sometidos los criptoactivos. También Fernando comenta que la manipulación del mercado al ser globalizada, proviene de diferentes países y actores, que al ser un pequeño mercado es fácilmente manipulable. Según CoinMarketCap, el mercado de los criptoactivos es de $200 mil millones de dólares y aunque parece una cifra alta, hay más de 100 fondos de inversión que superarían ampliamente ese capital y que hasta ahora invierten en el mercado Forex, Oro Petróleo y diferentes fuentes de financiación, hasta ahora porque para Fernando todo este movimiento y fluctuaciones que lleva sufriendo cada semana el mercado, son movimientos de estas grandes ballenas colocándose en su posición. Pero también Fernando llama la atención a que como llevan diciendo muchísimos expertos en Wall Street y diferentes medios de comunicación de tipo económico en Europa y Asia, sobre la expectativa de que viene una fuerte crisis monetaria y que va afectar al Dólar principalmente y aunque sin duda esta crisis en su camino destructivo se va a llevar a varias economías emergentes que apostaron en su día por endeudarse en dólares precisamente como el caso de Turquía. Pero lo importante a tomar en cuenta, es que históricamente con cada crisis monetaria global, el Bitcoin ha dado un salto como inversión Refugio o de soporte frente a las pérdidas en los mercados tradicionales. Si bien es cierto que el Bitcoin ha bajado desde los $20000 dólares de su máximo en diciembre, actualmente su valor se encuentra entre los $5500 y los $6500 dólares durante varias semanas o meses. No No obstante Fernado señala que se ha visto que hay un fuerte valor de resistencia sobre los casi $6000 dólares que es donde se han ido posicionando las ballenas y dónde los meses de marzo y de abril pasados varios fondos soberanos y fondos de inversión muy potentes hicieron compras fuera del mercado en cantidades de cientos de miles de Bitcoin. Esta operación que se situó entre los $5000 y $5500 dólares, hace prever que cualquier precio que baje de esa posición es automáticamente comprado nuevamente, algo que evidentemente estos fondos no van a querer ni permitir que se baje el valor de Bitcoin por debajo de su precio de compra. De hecho, éstos fondos tienen capacidad más que de sobra para mantener el precio a su antojo, por lo que ahora mismo no debe preocupar para nada que el Bitcoin esté en esta horquilla de los $6000 dólares. Obviamente, Fernando afirmó de nuevo que se está manipulando el mercado, pero mantiene que el ETF del CBOE de Bitcoin que se aprobará el próximo 30 de septiembre llevará al mercado a reventar literalmente porque se verá acompañada de grandes noticias relacionadas con proyectos de empresas multinacionales que crearán un FOMO “Fear Of Missing Out” brutal para fin de año Esta semana Fernando, tampoco olvida a Facebook como uno de esos creadores de FOMO con la compra encubierta de Coinbase y además de la gestión de licencias bancarias para operar. Pero hay que estar atentos a Google o Apple o proyectos la sombra como los que maneja Elon Musk y Tesla, su sueño de Hyperloop al que se sumó Richard Branson dueño de Virgin. De hecho, Richard Branson además es uno de los grandes inversores del Bitcoin desde el comienzo, cuando Virgin empezó a aceptar Bitcoin en sus tiendas desde 2013. De esta forma, Fernando infiere que tanto Virgin Airlines como Virgin Galactic que por ejemplo permiten desde 2013 pagar vuelos intercontinentales o visitas al espacio con Bitcoin, puede que motivado a esta asociación indirecta o directa con el Elon Musk y la adhesión del proyecto que ahora se llama Virgin Hyperloop One, pueda traer en un futuro muy cercano algo que ver con Blockchain. En otras ideas Fernando también se ocupa de resaltar en el Podcast que Bitcoin es la única inversión que está resultando estable con respecto el resto de las Altcoin que han sufrido una masacre brutal con caídas de más de 60 al 80% de su valor no sólo máximo sino valor medio. Eso si, también informa expresamente “_que que invertir en Bitcoin es de alto riesgo_“. En ese sentido Fernando aclara que de nuevo están corriendo en los medios versiones que señalan que las criptomonedas deben ser tributadas y en consecuencia el expresa su clara posición al respecto, pues a su parecer quienes tienen a su cargo la creación de normas tributarias no comprenden la mecánica de las criptomonedas y no tienen asesoría técnica especializada. Luego Fernando en ese mismo orden de ideas, criticó un par de notas publicadas en medios dedicados a la economía que claramente tampoco poseen asesoramiento técnico ni conocen el funcionamiento del mercado de criptoactivos, por lo que en este Podcast podrás escuchar la respuesta de Fernando a sendos artículos relacionados con el Bitcoin publicados por medios de algo nivel económico que cometen errores al elaborar las noticias y que pareciera que buscan generar FUD “Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt” en los mercados. En cuanto a Meetups y Conferencias, Fernando Molina ya comentaba la semana pasada, que esta semana se celebraba en la ciudad de Las Vegas, EE.UU., en el Mandalay Bay el evento BlockchainChainXChange, que para hoy miércoles 15 después de 3 días de grandes ponencias se cierra con la intervención de Steve Wozniak el fundador de Apple junto a Steve Jobs. Pero como éste evento ya no se puede asistir, Fernando trae varios eventos de primer nivel para agregar a la agenda. Empezando, el próximo 05 y 06 de octubre en la ciudad de Andorra se celebrará el primer Congreso Internacional sobre Tecnología Blockchain CIBTC el Principado de Andorra con una capacidad reducida cuatrocientas (400) personas y con grandes proyectos de toda Europa e incluso alguno americano y asiático, así que en pocas semanas ya tendremos los acuerdos definitivos y podremos ir avanzando más información de uno de los eventos más grandes realizados en el norte de la Península ibérica sobre tecnología Blockchain. Luego, en el mes de noviembre, atención porque se llevará a cabo el mayor evento de Europa y tal vez del mundo relacionado con la tecnología se trata del Web Summit de Lisboa los días 5 al 11 de noviembre con más de 70.000 entradas vendidas ya y más de 1200 ponencias de más de 170 países, con unos números de auténtico vértigo que avalan uno de los eventos más interesante del año, que se celebrará en el Altice Arena de Lisboa y en donde simultáneamente se van a celebrar 25 conferencias de distintos tipos de tecnología por lo que respecta a Blockchain de Bitcoin la más importante sería la Money Conf dónde van a exponer grandes voces de la industria desde Max Levchin sin uno de los fundadores de PayPal a Robert (Bob) Greifeld ex-CEO del Nasdaq, el famoso inversor Timothy Cook Draper mejor conocido como Tim Draper, Francisco González Rodríguez Presidente de BBVA como banco español más representado en una conferencia sobre futuro del dinero. Todos ellos juntos a otros nombres como Jon Matonis director y fundador de la fundación Bitcoin o Joseph Lubin fundador de ConsenSys y co-fundador junto a Vitalik Buterin de Ethereum. El Web Summit es uno de los grandes eventos a nivel global, sin duda con un cartel impresionante en cuanto a ponencias de interés y una capacidad de atracción de visitantes de alto nivel mundial realmente espectacular con más de 70.000 entradas vendidas a un precio de unos 675 € cada una y con antelación, una auténtica locura. Y en cuanto al sorteo de las camisetas, Fernando indica que ya hay casi 100 personas apuntadas al sorteo de las camisetas del capítulo 50 del podcast Territorio Bitcoin por lo que tomaron al decisión de sortear 20 camisetas, agregando otro en diseño especial para las damas que tengan la suerte de que les toque en el sorteo en color Rosa. Hoy miércoles si da tiempo, se mostrarán los diseños en la cuenta de Twitter, así que todavía están a tiempo de participar antes del próximo lunes por la mañana fecha en que se realizará el sorteo. Territorio Bitcoin, tiene un (Podcast semanal) con Noticias de Bitcoin, Blockchain, Fintech, Altcoins, Minería de Criptodivisas, Inversiones y mucho más contenido sobre este apasionante mundo. Además, en los Podcast de Territorio Bitcoin, podrán encontrar acertados comentarios con las cotizaciones más importantes en los exchanges, los meetup en agenda, conferencias y otras presentaciones relevantes de los próximos días. Te invitamos a escuchar los Podcast en español!! Si quieres colaborar con nuestro proyecto, puedes considerar hacer una donación o simplemente regalar una propina, ingresando en este Link: _EspacioBit.com.ve: Donaciones y Patrocinios _. 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